The Underdog Strategy: Profiting from Unexpected Wins in Football Betting

Among the thrills and spills of football betting, where every game is a story waiting to unfold, there’s a strategy that thrills the hearts of bettors the underdog strategy. This approach, much like the unexpected turns in a game at 20Bet, revolves around rooting for the underdog, the team least expected to win, and profiting from their surprising victories.

Understanding the Underdog

In every football match, there’s usually a favorite – the team expected to win, and the underdog – the team presumed to lose. The underdog status might be due to various factors such as lower league rankings, historical performance, or lack of star players. Betting on the underdog means going against the grain, challenging popular opinion, and backing the team considered less likely to win.

The Appeal of the Underdog Bet

The primary allure of betting on the underdog is the potential for high returns. Since underdogs are expected to lose, betting platforms like 20Bet offer higher odds on these teams. A win for the underdog thus results in a significantly higher payout compared to winning a bet on the favorite. This high-reward scenario is what makes underdog betting particularly attractive for risk-takers.

Underdog Bet

Historic Underdog Triumphs

The world of football is not just about the might of the giants; it’s also the domain where Davids conquer Goliaths. These underdog triumphs are not mere upsets; they are the heart and soul of football, weaving the narrative of unpredictability and hope.

Leicester City’s incredible Premier League victory in the 2015-2016 season is a case in point. Before the season, they were considered likely candidates for relegation. But what unfolded was a story of determination, teamwork, and strategy that defied 5000-1 odds and led them to clinch the title. It wasn’t just a victory for Leicester City; it was a win for every underdog team that ever dreamed of achieving the impossible.

Then there’s the awe-inspiring tale of Greece in the 2004 UEFA European Championship. A team with seemingly no superstars or flashy playstyle, Greece relied on solid defense and team cohesion. They overcame the odds to defeat hosts Portugal in the finals, a victory that resonated across the football world and inspired underdog teams everywhere.

England’s 1966 World Cup win is another instance. Despite being the host nation, they were not outright favourites. But, through a blend of tenacity and skill, they managed to clinch the World Cup, a feat that remains a pinnacle of English football history.

Analyzing the Underdog Bet

Betting on the underdog requires more than just a hunch. It demands an understanding of the game’s nuances. Team morale, for instance, plays a pivotal role. A team riding the wave of recent successes or one that’s rallied strongly against adversity can often defy expectations.

Injuries and player availability are also crucial. The absence of key players in the favored team can level the playing field, offering an advantage to the underdog. Additionally, weather conditions can play a spoiler for teams not accustomed to certain climates or pitches.

External factors like management changes can also significantly impact a team’s performance. A new coach can bring a fresh perspective and tactics, potentially rejuvenating an underperforming team.

Risk Management in Underdog Betting

Betting on underdogs is inherently riskier, but the rewards can be substantial. The key is to manage the risks effectively. This includes betting within limits, avoiding emotional betting, and understanding that not all underdog bets will pay off. Diversifying bets rather than putting all your eggs in one basket can also be a sound strategy.

The Role of In-Play Betting

In-play betting adds an exciting dynamic to underdog betting. It allows bettors to assess the game’s flow and the underdog team’s performance before placing their bets. Factors like dominant play, team synergy, and even the underdog holding off the favourite in the early stages of the game can indicate a potential upset, offering valuable insights for in-play betting.

Embracing the Psychological Edge

The psychological factor in underdog betting can’t be overlooked. There’s a unique thrill in backing the underdog, akin to rooting for the hero in an underdog story. This emotional engagement often brings a sense of satisfaction that transcends monetary gains. For many bettors, the joy of seeing an underestimated team triumph can be as rewarding as the financial payout.

The Art of Spotting Value in Underdog Odds

One of the key aspects of successful underdog betting is the ability to spot value. Value betting involves identifying cases where the odds are more favourable than the actual probability of the event occurring. This requires a deep understanding of both the sport and betting markets. Experienced bettors know that finding value is more sustainable over the long term than just betting on long shots.

The Influence of Media and Public Opinion

Public opinion and media portrayal can often skew the perception of a team’s true chances. Underdogs are frequently underrated because of popular sentiment or past performances. A savvy bettor learns to see through the hype and make informed decisions based on factual analysis rather than popular opinion.

Strategic Betting on Underdogs in Tournaments

Tournaments offer unique opportunities for underdog betting. The knockout format of many football tournaments can lead to surprising upsets. In these scenarios, even a single moment of brilliance or a lapse in concentration can turn the game around. Betting on underdogs in tournament play requires analyzing the team’s potential to cause an upset in a high-stakes, one-off match, rather than over a longer league campaign.

Final Verdict: Embracing the Thrill of the Underdog Bet

Betting on the underdog in football is a thrilling strategy that embodies the unpredictability and passion of the sport. It’s about cheering for the team that dares to defy expectations, much like players at 20Bet who take on the odds. While it’s a strategy that comes with its share of risks, it also brings the exhilaration of witnessing an unexpected victory and reaping substantial rewards. As with any betting strategy, success lies in doing one’s homework, managing risks wisely, and, perhaps most importantly, enjoying the beautiful game in all its unpredictability.


An experienced tipster and big football lover.